I like for the Angels to come to Texas and make a statement that this is now their division and no longer the Rangers. They send their newly acquired Jason Vargas to the mound to face a depleted Rangers line up that no longer features Michael Young or Josh Hamilton. Hamilton is now ont he Angels as we all know. Vargas had a 5.06 ERA vs. the Rangers last year which is not much to get excited for, but the fact that the Rangers don't have the same team is inspiring for me. IN 175 AB on their active roster Vargas has limited them to a .200 average and .616 OPS. He does have a higher HR/FB rate, but produces less HR/FB than his counter part today.
Derek Holland is not a good guy to back when the Rangers are at home where he posted a 5.55 ERA a year ago. Over the last 3 years he also posts a 5.12 ERA in 10 April starts. Holland struggles mightily against the Angels in 177 AB they have a .333 average and a .976 OPS with 10 HR. I think +109 is enough value to make this our free play of the day.
